Tuesday, May 25, 2010

Re: [californiadisasters] Geologist forecasts undersea Northwest quake in 50 years

...which is why I get far more of my news from this group than from the
"press".

----- Original Message -----
From: "Kate Hutton" <katehutton@gmail.com>
To: <californiadisasters@yahoogroups.com>
Cc: "Geology2" <geology2@yahoogroups.com>; "California Earthquake Forum"
<californiasearthquakeforum@yahoogroups.com>
Sent: Tuesday, May 25, 2010 3:01 PM
Subject: Re: [californiadisasters] Geologist forecasts undersea Northwest
quake in 50 years


> This is what drives me nuts about journalism. "Geologist forecasts
undersea
> quake in 50 years", whereas the first line of the story says the
probability
> is 37% in 50 years.
>
> Kate
>
> On Tue, May 25, 2010 at 5:44 AM, Lin Kerns <linkerns@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> >
> >
> > Geologist forecasts undersea Northwest quake in 50 years
> >
> > An Oregon marine geologist forecasts a 37 percent chance of a major
> > earthquake in the next 50 years in an undersea area that stretches from
> > Newport, Ore., to Northern California.
> >
> > By Seattle Times
staff<http://search.nwsource.com/search?searchtype=cq&sort=date&from=ST&byli
ne=Seattle%20Times%20staff
>
> >
> > An Oregon marine geologist forecasts a 37 percent chance of a major
> > earthquake in the next 50 years in an undersea area that stretches from
> > Newport, Ore., to Northern California.
> >
> > Chris Goldfinger, of Oregon State University, says in an analysis
released
> > Monday that a second area off the coast of Northern Oregon, Washington
and
> > Vancouver Island has about a 10 to 15 percent chance of producing a huge
> > earthquake during the next half century.
> >
> > "It's not a question of if a major earthquake will strike," Goldfinger
said
> > in a statement released Monday by Oregon State University. "It is a
matter
> > of when. And the 'when' is looking like it might not be that far in the
> > future."
> >
> > Goldfinger said the offshore fault area known as the Cascadia Subduction
> > Zone has at least four segments, and that the probability of earthquake
> > activity differs by segment.
> >
> > The last major earthquake to hit the subduction zone occurred in January
> > 1700. It triggered a 30-foot tsunami.
> >
> > Studies of coastal estuaries and land formations show that temblor
caused
> > major changes to the Northwest coast, according to Goldfinger.
> >
> > Goldfinger said a future Northwest earthquake could meet or exceed in
> > magnitude the 8.8 quake that struck Chile earlier in February, tearing
up
> > highways, collapsing bridges and damaging or crumbling buildings.
> >
Source<http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2011945294_earthquake
25m.html
>
> >
> > --
> > (Gars O'Higgins Station penguins)
> > http://wiinterrr.blogspot.com/
> > http://penguinnewstoday.blogspot.com/
> > http://penguinology.blogspot.com/
> > (Twilight Saga commentary)
> > http://throughgoldeneyes.blogspot.com/
> > (Volcano Watch)
> > http://www.netvibes.com/volcanowatch
> >
> > Coming soon! California Fire Watch
> >
> > One does not discover new lands without consenting to lose sight of the
> > shore for a very long time.
> >
> > -- Andre Gide
> >
> > >^,,^<
> >
> >
> >
>

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